Thursday, January 5, 2012

Post Midlands/Southern Scuffle NCAA Team Predictions

Last year, Penn State won the NCAA tourney with 1 first, 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 2 R12, 1 scoring 0.5 point, and 2 NQs. In addition they had 6 pins, 1 TF, and 3 MDs, getting them to 107.5 points.

Here?s how I think they do this year:
2 First, 2 Second, 2 low AA, 3 R12, and one not scoring at all. For bonus, I?ll guess 6 pins, 3 TF, 5 majors. Depending on my math and where wins come from for lower placement, that should put PSU at about 118-120 points; a little more than last year, and enough for the team victory.

Here?s my breakdown for the team (I have included Intermat rankings for comparison):
Molinaro (1), Taylor (1), Ruth (2), Wright (5)

  • ? Best Likely Case: All four take First
  • ? Worst Likely Case: Two First, one third, one fourth
  • ? I?ll go with: 2 first, 2 second

Megaludis (13), Martelotti(un), Alton (10), McIntosh (11), Wade (8)


  • ? Best Likely Case: 4 place, 1 R12
  • ? Worst Likely Case: 1 place, 2 R12, 2 dnp
  • ? I?ll go with: 2 place, 3 R12 (ouch)

Pearsall (unranked, but Bonson still is!)

  • ? Best Likely Case: R12
  • ? Worst Likely Case: goes 1-2
  • ? I?ll go with: Scores no points ? this should balance out any bias I might have in other placers (like martellotti not stepping up, etc.)

Source: http://www.thewrestlingtalk.com/college-wrestling/211718-post-midlands-southern-scuffle-ncaa-team-predictions.html

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